Unknown guest
3 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 3 still open
open Unknown guest: Orbital compute energy will become cheaper than terrestrial energy.
“Orbital compute energy will be cheaper than on Earth by 2030”
open Unknown guest: Many groups are preparing on the assumption that China could move to take over Taiwan by the end of 2026.
“It's the end of 2026 that everyone's preparing for for China to take over Taiwan.”
open Unknown guest: Civilizational/technological progress will hit a plateau where each successive developmental milestone takes exponentially longer (hundreds, thousands, then hundreds of millions of years), despite the current apparent hyper-exponential trajectory.
“The next rungs of the developmental ladder... are going to take progressively hundreds, thousands, tens of thousands, eventually hundreds of millions of years.”