Bernt Bornich
7 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 7 still open
open Bernt Bornich: 1X's factory will run at a rate north of 20,000 Neo Gamma robots per year by the end of 2026.
“the factory run rate end of 2026 is north of 20k”
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open Bernt Bornich: 1X will reach a production run rate of hundreds of thousands of robots per year before the end of this decade.
“you can imagine a run rate before the end of this decade of hundreds of thousands per year”
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open Bernt Bornich: 1X will open pre-orders and take orders for Neo Gamma within 2025.
“It's this year.”
Your call:
open Bernt Bornich: There will be roughly 10 billion humanoid robots on Earth by 2040, possibly sooner, depending on supply-chain and permitting constraints.
“I think it's probably roughly correct. I think it might happen before.”
Your call:
open Bernt Bornich: 1X's world-model technology will eventually be productized and sold as its own capability, beyond just powering Neo Gamma.
“yes, this will be productized... still a bit out”
Your call:
open Bernt Bornich: Neo Gamma will eventually be allowed to cook and handle other currently-restricted tasks once 1X has enough certainty that the AI's behavior is safe.
“over time, as the AI improves and we get more and more certainty on all behaviors being safe, we will allow cooking”
Your call:
open Bernt Bornich: After an initial general-purpose humanoid phase, robotics will fragment into specialized robot forms built for specific tasks, mirroring how computing specialized after the PC era.
“we will get to where we have Star Wars, there will be different drones doing different tasks”
Your call: