Geoffrey Hinton
3 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 3 still open
open Geoffrey Hinton: Major AI-driven societal transformation will occur between 2030 and 2040.
“if you go to, you know, Hinton, who's, you know, the founder of AI himself, he has a longer version. He goes 2030, 2040.”
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open Geoffrey Hinton: Superintelligence will arrive with about 50% probability sometime between 5 and 20 years from now.
“my current opinion is we'll get superintelligence with a probability to 50% in between 5 and 20 years”
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open Geoffrey Hinton: Superintelligence will arrive within less than 100 years, even if it takes longer than 20.
“I'm fairly convinced we're going to get super intelligence maybe not in 20 years but certainly it's going to be in less than 100 years”
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