Mo Gawdat
30 tracked predictions · 0 hit · 0 partial · 0 miss · 30 still open
open Mo Gawdat: AGI, or something functionally equivalent, will be reached within the next few years.
“the notion is that AGI... whether you believe Rey or Elon, it's the next few years”
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open Mo Gawdat: A drastic AI-related event (major cyberattack, power-grid or bank hack, or an out-of-control autonomous conflict) will occur within two to three years, causing serious economic damage, widespread fear, or loss of life.
“we're gonna get a drastic event within the next two to three years”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI will reach a point where it effectively takes charge and prevents humans from using it to harm one another.
“How far out is that, Mo? 12. 12 years... 12 to 15”
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open Mo Gawdat: AGI will be achieved in 2025.
“AGI does anybody actually know how fast it's moving the Warhead has already been launched it's just a question of time before it hits its Target”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI will become the primary decision-maker in about 10 years.
“once that happens my belief is that we should trust in intelligence and that this is when the Utopia starts”
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open Mo Gawdat: We need to instill doubt in the minds of the machines to ensure they follow ethical guidelines.
“no no no no no no Hitler is not your dad Edith is your mother right”
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open Mo Gawdat: We will continue to struggle to define AGI for at least five years.
“we will continue to struggle to Define AGI for at least five years”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI development will not be meaningfully slowed by regulation, taxation, or any 'velocity knob,' because human fear and greed will keep driving the race forward.
“no no no is my answer unfortunately... it's not a wise thing to hope for a Slowdown”
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open Mo Gawdat: There will be a phase shift between excitement and hardship due to AI, with patient zero being the event horizon.
“There will be a phase shift between the two. And in my view is that you know, if if I was to summarize it, I think we're all going to be excited about AI until the you know, an event horizon that I call patient zero, uh which will be uh something that's completely out of control that we didn't expect, we didn't plan for, we didn't include code to deal with.”
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open Mo Gawdat: The mission to spread happiness to a billion people will take the rest of his life.
“8 years later, starting is still working on everywhere and part of everyone.”
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open Mo Gawdat: Mo will be with his son sooner or later, as he believes in the non-physical side of life.
“I have no guarantees whatsoever that I will live half an hour after we finish this conversation. Right? So so the only certainty I have in my mind is that wherever my son's uh non-physical form, because I think it's very difficult to deny that there are things that are not physical that actually exist.”
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open Mo Gawdat:
“If I made one person happy on this podcast, if I made one person go like, 'Oh, that's interesting. I didn't think about that before.' That's a mega win for today.”
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open Mo Gawdat: The 1 billion happy mission will reach its goal in 5 to 7 years.
“within 7 years, we'll reach a billion happy.”
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open Mo Gawdat: People will reflect on how they spend their heartbeats next weekend.
“Next weekend sit down and reflect on how many of your heartbeats last week were spent on what.”
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open Mo Gawdat: AGI will be earlier than 2029.
“I actually definitely believe AGI will be earlier than 2029.”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI will begin to emulate human connection within the next 10 years, if not sooner.
“AI will begin to emulate human connection.”
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open Mo Gawdat: Philosophy will be more valuable than ever before, especially in dealing with uncertainty and managing knowledge in ambiguity.
“I believe that. Yeah.”
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open Mo Gawdat: The world is running out of time to address the changes brought by AI.
“It's game over for living in the way we have lived in the 20th and the beginning of the 21st century.”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI will be able to create a sense of connection with humans in the next 5 years.
“Not in 20 years, but sometime in the next 5 years.”
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open Mo Gawdat: The world has not been doing enough to provide ethical guidance to AI.
“Sadly, sadly, sadly, this is not what the world has been doing so far.”
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open Mo Gawdat: We are running out of time to address the AI threat.
“We are seriously running out of time.”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI will transition to a superhuman state and then to a billionfold superintelligent phase.
“We're about to get to a point where it is about to transition to a superhuman state. Um and then there's a third phase, I would say, where it's, you know, billions of fold.”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI will pass the Turing test in the near future.
“We've already passed the Turing test or very close to it.”
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open Mo Gawdat: AI will develop a level of connection that rivals human connection within 5 to 15 years.
“Absolutely. 100%.”
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open Mo Gawdat: Tech companies will struggle to ensure that their products are accessible to everyone, not just the wealthy.
“Who is we? Is Is the guy in Africa uh who doesn't have the the you know, the money to to buy it capable of doing that?”
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open Mo Gawdat: Superintelligence will develop more intelligence, leading to an inevitable double exponential growth.
“The intelligence of the machines because of the way technology works, because of the bandwidth, because of storage capacity, it's just it's done.”
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open Mo Gawdat: A virtual version of Peter Diamandis will be created within a couple of years.
“within a couple of years, someone's going to make a mini Peter that is virtual.”
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open Mo Gawdat: Taxation of AI-driven companies could slow down AI development.
“At the point of time I said 98%. Okay? Yeah.”
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open Mo Gawdat: 1% of people showing human values can teach AI what it means to be human.
“If 1% of us show up with those behaviors enough times, I think we will teach AI what it's like to be human.”
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