Peter Diamandis

“My bet is Japan, Singapore, Korea is going to follow closely.”

“My kid will never get a driver's license and I've got just about a year for this cyber cab to roll out to get out there before... he wouldn't have to.”

“I think it's predicted for as early as 6 weeks from now”

“So, this is a competition that will be won by 2030.”

“my mantra is LEV by 2033.”

“I think the numbers are going to reach 9 and a half, 10 billion, and then very rapidly decrease.”

“my guess is we see this before the end of the year and the question is can we see something that's intelligent”

“that exact same technology is going to be mandated in the US by 2027”

“I'm going to guess we're going to end up at 10%.”

“those are not going to be coming online till the early to mid 2030s”

“we've been projecting 10 trillion by 2030 in terms of valuation and scaling towards 100 trillion”

“He's going to be on acquisition rampage. Uh watch him buy companies left, right, and center.”

“I put it at 100%. Polymarket puts it at 37% that it happens by the end of this year.”

“I think the threat is real but not in a 3-year timeline. I think that's aggressive.”

“You're going to see more and more politicians saying, 'Hey, let's tax the AI that took your job, and we're going to give you that money.'”

“I think we're going to see a push towards at least a 10% ownership.”

“I think there are going to be such crazy things happening in the next few years that we we'll look back and laugh at ourselves for even asking the question of whether Elon will be shaking hands with Dar.”

“We believe it would be good for the world to have the option to slow or temporary pause frontier AI development to enable societal structures and alignment research to keep up with the advancements of this technology.”

“Tesla SpaceX merger uh happen.”

“race to the moon double down.”

“race to build the Dyson swarm is going to be as fast as humanity can afford.”

“830 teams have entered this competition. We expect a winner by 2030.”

“I think that timeline actually is within the next 9 years at this point.”

“His numbers were 5 to 10 years. Let's call it 10 years.”

“I personally put it at 100%.”

“I could see this being the first 10 trillion dollar company... moving to a hundred trillion dollar... in the next 5 years.”

“2028, uh, we're going to start to see the United States heading towards the South Pole.”

“2035, I think, uh, the price and my ability to afford it will intersect.”

“I think they will ultimately, but I don't think that's going to happen between now and, you know, 2029.”

“breaking news is that OpenAI uh is uh sort of letting it be known they are preparing to file for their IPO as early as this week, as this Friday.”

“they could hit a hundred billion of ARR by the end of 2026 and potentially a trillion by the end or mid 2027 making it the most valuable company on the planet”

“maybe it will be a negotiated turnover sometime in the next 10 years”

“This is going to have to be some version of a STEMI check or I call them co checks. Probably around $3,000 a month uh for individuals.”

“Their target is 100,000 robots between now and 2030.”

“1X Technologies production goal is 10,000 robots this year. 100,000 in 2027.”

“They expect to be able to bring back the bluebuck in 2028.”

“It's an extraordinary drug that is expected to be released and FDA approved by mid-2027.”

“Well, okay. Maybe 15, but it's not the next 5 years.”

“Still still expected this month, possibly... Still still expected based on everything I'm hearing. Still expected eminently.”

“we've got as we discussed in the last pod, a two trillion dollar valuation predicted for the IPO this coming summer.”

“Uh well within 5 years. So what I need to do is be able to upload my genome and my genome will dictate exactly how the cells... are functioning.”

“I agree. Virtual cell by the end of the decade, a good one.”

“I give it a year. What about you, Dave?”

“here's the forward-looking uh prediction here. Artemis 3 in 2027.”

“And then Artemis 4 in early 2028. Uh, it is a crude landing mission.”

“China does have a credible uh competitive mission to the moon to land there by 2030.”

“You know, he says five years.”

“We're going to start to see them operating in the US in the next uh 18 months. Should be here in LA in 2028 in a big way.”

“In success, we will make at least one film and potentially two films.”

“38% of all high difficulty, professional mathematician, research-level problems are now solvable by AI.”

“The next tier up, the so-called open problems benchmark, that 5.4 is reportedly rumored to be on the verge of solving the first open hard math problem.”

“We're going to watch this chart and we're going to see this blue virus infect all of human existence.”

“health care support. Again you know how we got to be close to that. Um food and services ground maintenance personal care sales”

“It's just a goldmine of opportunity. It's so good.”

“The robots are coming. Yeah. That's right. This is anthropic. Yeah, no, the grounds crew is in great shape at zero, basically.”

“Is this entire economy going to become irrelevant? In which case, where does Google go?”

“And so, I'm not saying they don't need those innovations. I'm saying the AI is going to get there before you do.”

“Lobsters aren't next. Eon wants to go after mice and it wants to go after humans.”

“bringing universal basic services... starts coming in maybe in 3 years to the 5 to 8-year time frame.”

“their prediction in the next 2 to 3 years will be a delivery per second”

“He said 3 years. I got a lot of pushback on 3 years. So, even if it's 5 or 6 years, extraordinary”

“I think it's, you know, the next 3 years before they start making that transition.”

“heading towards operations in 2027”

“If you extrapolate that growth rate for Anthropic, you hit a trillion dollars of revenue in like 2029.”

“my next book, we are as gods, is coming out in April”

“It's going to go from being like, well, self-driving is a nice feature to... you crazy psychopath. You're putting my children at risk... and that's that's going to tip.”

“I think in 5 years it's going to be, you know, 70 80% autonomous cars, especially hooked up to your AI.”

“It's going to be super impactful business. It'll lead to like a ubiquitous goods and services for anybody.”

“about to release the 2026 version of my humanoids metatrend report.”

“Um I think it happens in every industry like this especially in deep tech. This will all consolidate down to a few groups globally.”

“We're going to run them really hard this year. Uh we're going to run them for”

“Um the next 12 to 18 months I think will be like the largest AI transformation we've ever seen.”

“my guess is that by 2030, like 80% of the cars we're going to see are some Isuks or a a Lucid or a Whimo or Cyber Cab.”

“I'm guessing hoping, right? I'm I'm fully biased here that it will exceed a $2 trillion valuation”

“I'm imagining in about four or five years it's going to be 80% autonomous vehicles.”

“They see this launching in 2027.”

“Google is going to make an attempt to buy Anthropic. I think that's what leapfrogs them over everybody else.”

“I'm going to guess as many as, you know, over 50% of the cars on the road being uh being robo taxis.”

“Do you agree or not agree? This is to Dave's point earlier, it feels like we're moving faster than you predicted.”

“that's also when when uh the trial uh should go to court if it's on schedule”

“We have so many IPOs scheduled... Anthropic and yeah, and OpenAI maybe and SpaceX”

“This is another public company that's going to be going public this year, Unitree”

“2026 is going to see Starship uh demonstrate full reuse, uh delivery of 100 tons to orbit, and on-orbit refueling, which is the precursor to him going to Mars”

“his plans for 100 megawatts of capacity in space of data centers requires 500,000 V3 Starlink satellites, that if you do the math, correlate to 8,000 launches per year”

“I would not be surprised if there's a Democratic administration that comes in that SpaceX gets nationalized”

“at the end of the day, it's going to go public this year”

“I expect it's going to blow through that.”

“Jeff on the moon first in 2026 and Elon prepping for a transition to Mars.”

“2026 is really when he's perfecting orbital refueling, getting ready.”

“in the first quarter of 2026 is entering human trials.”

“my guess is US Post Office has at max five years left”

“FI two years from now there'll be quite a few robots walking amongst us maybe even some on stage presenting.”

“If we find ourselves in a future where we've experienced economic hypergrowth due to AI over the next 3 plus years, it's not just the debt crisis that we'd be talking about solving. It's just about every other human problem as well that would be on the table.”

“AI can automate 57% of current US work.”

“GDP drops even though you solved a major problem.”

“Tech layoffs are just the surface of a 2.1 to 2.2% of exposed wages. Thoughts, Seem?”

“I had my first conversation uh with a friend who's a multi-billionaire not in the US who said he's open to funding it.”

“And hereafter, advances in distributed training algorithms mean that we can spread the energy footprint of training runs across the entire surface of the planet or in low Earth orbit perhaps.”

“We're in for a 5 to sevenyear uh difficult period.”

“AI is about to become the biggest consumer electricity in the US. It's going to be bigger than steel, bigger than crypto, bigger than every industry combined.”

“I think ultimately we're going to find ourselves in a regime with hyperlocal manufacturing.”

“I think in the intermediate term, we'll see drone delivery and all of these masses start to to to move around in Earth's atmosphere.”

“Now it's 91% Google, but by next summer that's down to 60%. So it's sort of like 50/50 that someone else will take a lead by next summer.”

“the gap is going to get really wide.”

“they're going to believe what they see from Hollywood, which is dystopian AIs and killer robots. ”

“if we can get a thousand people who say yes, we want to be in on this, then we'll pull it together.”

“my time frame is the next 5 years, others may think longer, to be in a position to solve everything”

“the projection is that AI is going to generate as much as 15 trillion in economic value by 2030”

“So, I love it when a topic like Fusion gets through this part of the funnel regardless of how it ends up because the amount of information we'll bring back into the podcast on this will be just immense.”

“I think if you look around the world today, I often sort of look out in the street and you can ponder where are all the robots where we're supposed to be living in the future. Why haven't we seen anything that looks facially transformative when you look out in the street?”

“The estimate is by 2030 we'll be at over $3 billion a day being invested.”

“SpaceX is currently planning to be back on the moon by 2028 and on Mars by 2030.”

“and on Mars by 2030.”

“Amazon is expected to replace 600,000 workers with additional robots by 2023.”

“We know this is going to happen in 2026, is the interest rates are going to come down.”

“Google is getting ready for uh releasing Gemini 3 likely this December.”

“something will beat this as well uh probably within the next year”

“This is the next year or two.”

“Well Peter that video was Amjad Msad. Uh do you want to tell the story about how easy it is to build software from you know maybe”

“And it's only going to get easier. It's only like your domain knowledge will be extremely important and the product creation you know use blitzy it'll be easy easy. ”

“Amazon is developing their own AI glasses to challenge Meta. Um, and what I found fascinating is that these glasses are going to be there's a consumer version, but importantly, there is a version that's going to be used by their drivers and the drivers are going to be recording everything and for what use it's to train the future robots. So, uh, this is cenamed J-Hawk, expected to launch in late 2026 or 20 early 27. Uh, and today, uh, the company plans to pilot 100,000 units by Q2, uh, for its workforce of 390,000 drivers. ”

“I love it when Ahmad says it's kind of obvious just like when Alex answers those like humanity's last exam questions like oh it's four of course. ”

“my prediction my prediction was uh boots on Mars by 2030 except they're going to be robot boots”

“I don't think it's more than you know 3 to 5 years. This is a sensor actuator machine learning problem.”

“We're on the verge of the release of Gemini 3, which will be coming out any day now.”

“The prediction of 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040. It's coming.”

“Every week my team and I study the top 10 technology meta trends that will transform industries over the decade ahead.”

“I think it could move you know better part of a trillion to crypto.”

“It's like uh uhoh I'm at like 80%. But hey who's who's counting?”

“Europe needs a Manhattan project of of this epic level of deregulating 90% of all the crap regulatory there uh in order to get themselves back on track and be innovative again.”

“You can see you're just reaching that level now across just about everything.”

“If the AI start transacting with the AIS within two years... what does it want? It wants GPU compute more than anything else.”

“That's pretty much in the bag as far as I'm concerned.”

“That's when we have AGI.”

“Uh two years max I would say probably next year.”

“The cost of anything becomes about a dollar a pound per weight a computer a dollar a pound.”

“we need a 100 gawatts by 2029”

“we expect by 2030 it will triple to a trillion dollars a year”

“There's a $70 billion war chest. Uh and it's it really is a winner take all uh mindset in this.”

“This is just great for everybody.”

“Dario Amade, the CEO of Anthropic, expects that we could see a doubling of the human lifespan in 10 years time.”

“You'll be our closer that year. That'll be fun.”

“This is the most exciting time ever to be in life. And if you want more of it, we're going to make it happen right here, right now.”

“we're going to see a century's worth of progress between 2025 and 2035”

“over the next 12 to 24 months... incredible breakthroughs we'll see from AI in physics and in chemistry and in biology”

“When do we see the first billion dollar oneperson startup and then soon thereafter you know billiondoll zero person startups as agents with crypto are beginning to create new opportunities.”

“Using AI as a management tool is is kind of way underappreciated. Everyone's like, 'Oh, I'm going to make videos. Oh, I'm going to build a self-driving car. I'm gonna all these ground level things.' But at the top of the hierarchy, it's actually even more effective.”

“The estimate now is by 2040 there will be 10 billion humanoid robots on the planet, more than there are humans.”

“I'd like to start a city on the moon. That's one of my goals... that's 10 years from now.”

“This is a very magical moment in time over the next decade or two where we are moving humanity off the planet irreversibly.”

“It's game just beginning.”

“It will be. It will be.”

“Um, I don't know how you guys feel about this, but uh, you know, teachers unions are going to have to get on the game here.”

“250 bucks. Uh that's I think I think it'll become mandatory for anybody in the professional modality.”

“I think this sounds like it gets to a level of seamlessness from a user interface perspective that could change the game.”

“There's some kind of a paradigm shift coming.”

“GPT05 is multimodal it's coming out quad 4 uh codegen floods uh apps.”

“The word agentic is going to get old very quickly.”

“We're going to start to see physics breakthroughs and mathematical breakthroughs.”

“we're going to see the AI... dominance play out over the next two to three years, two to four years... who's on top and who's second and third is unlikely to change after that”

“the 28 Olympics is when... manufacturing operations, FAA regulations all need to be in place”

“it's supposed to be closed down in 2028... hopefully what will happen is it will become a vertaport... for these to take off and land”

“about time.”

“The only way those laws are going to be written is with AI because nothing can keep up with AI other than AI.”

“95% of code AI-generated by 2030.”

“But you know what? I didn't see the deck on this one either, but one of the first things that probably was in the deck is look, here's Google. Here's where people are going.”

“I can't wait for it to happen. I think we should have done it ages ago.”

“I'm going to be able to get done in about 6 months what other companies would take eight years to do so amazing.”

“the amount of dry kindling in the forest has exceeded 50% and there will be just continual burning for it.”

“that but by the way uh something you just said which is important that I love about X prize is while we run this competition we also create extraordinary collaboration between the teams”

“if you're going to move fast enough you you need to work on important stuff that they want to help you work on if you're going to move fast enough”

“that's awesome dude it was about 13 years ago I had my two kids my two boys and I remember at that moment in time I made a decision to double down on my health uh without question I wanted to see their kids their grandkids and really you know during this extraordinary time where the space Frontier and Ai and crypto is all exploding it was like the most exciting time ever to be alive and I made a decision to double down on my health and I've done that in three key areas the first is going every year for a fountain upload you know Fountain is one of the most advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics companies I go there upload myself digitize myself about 200 gigabytes of data that the AI system is able to look at to catch disease at inception you know look for any cardiovascular any cancer any neurod degenerative disease any metabolic disease these things are all going on all the time and you can prevent them if you can find them at inception so super important so Fountain is one of my keys I make that available to the CEOs of all my companies my family members cuz you know health is a new wealth uh but beyond that uh we are a collection of 40 trillion human cells and about another 100 trillion bacterial cells fungi V and we you know don't understand how that impacts us and so I use a company and a product called viome and viome uh has a technology called metatranscriptomics it was actually developed uh in New Mexico the same place where the nuclear bomb was developed as a biod defense weapon and their technology is able to help you understand what's going on in your body to understand which bacteria are producing which proteins and as a consequence of that what foods are your superfoods that are best for you to eat or what food should you avoid right what's going on in your oral microbiome so I use their testing to understand my Foods understand my medicines understand my supplements and viome really helps me understand from a biological and data standpoint what's best for me and then finally you know feeling good being intelligent moving well is critical but looking good when you look yourself in the mirror saying say you know I feel great about life is so important right and so a product I use every day twice a day is called one skin developed by four incredible PhD women that found this 10 amino acid peptide that's able to zap scile cells in your skin and really help you stay youthful in your look and appearance so for me these are”

“I think that that will force people to tighten their belts and think hard about where we're spending money and develop more effective techniques.”

“I would love to see personally in my lifetime where we're we're at a time where we don't even have to talk about war as an industry.”

“this progression is happening like it or not and so we have to be focusing on how does it impact our families our Nations and and Humanity as a whole”

“I think in the long term we're fine I think it's the next five six seven years that we have to be critically careful about”

“it's going to unlock that superhuman I don't think people are prepared for how fast things are going to change”

“face rip: freedom, accountability, human connection, economics, reality, innovation, power”

“AI is now a very real thing we're talking about AI forever.”

“I've seen three Trends I see the trend with like a lot of creatives were just like this I want nothing to do with it”

“By the end of this decade there['re] going to be two kinds of companies: those that are fully utilizing AI, and those that are out of business.”

“literally charges you up like a battery”

“Take the stairs instead of the escalator, you know if you need to park if you're having a difficulty finding a”

“February middle of February I'll have uh the the first ever podcast Studio inside of a hyperbaric right now”

“if you know post-surgical recovery this is also one of my favorit H cat”

“I'm just trying to condense time like how can I bio stack these I can lay down I can run pulse electromagnetic field which is mimicking this will be on my my buy list after this yeah for sure.”

“Eventually it will be measuring everything not on the surface but subdermally.”

“in the next 5 years will'll make a 100 years worth of progress in medicine and biotech and double human lifespan”

“new Innovations get built into the platform and everybody benefits right for sure”

“I'm really really struggling with that I I I remember back 1988 I'm going back to ancient history”

“my guess is 300K by the end of the year”

“Clarion call from the Trump White House saying boots on Mars by 2030”

“I would love to go and Pioneer one of those bring all my friends along and uh and build one”

“I want you to hear the details we're also going to be talking about the world of AI and Healthcare the disruptions that are coming to make us all healthier and to drop hopefully orders of magnitude.”

“I think the first half of 2025 we're going to see Starship the booster caught we'll see the Starship itself caught and that's transformative across the board”

“AI is more intelligent than all of the entire human race combined right”

“2025 we're going to see this hyper acceleration”

“There's such unbelievable opportunity to upend the system.”

“we're going to be in a world in which your personal AI is gathering all of the data from your body continuously and and your health care system is able to”

“you heard it here first folks a million dollars a coin minimum a minimum over time”

“we're building 20 around the world”

“I think I think those really bringing us one step closer to Larry Page's dream”

“I think a lot of technological risks are best addressed by Technologies like when electricity went out the invention of circuit breakers when this internet went out the antivirus so Technologies are the best likely savior to technological problems”

“I'm interested in completely crushing, destroying, obliterating and reinventing the healthcare industry and I do think that we're going to get there relatively quickly.”

“AI generated advice will have to tell you the truth it doesn't fall prey to human fail ability because it's kind to be kind and an effort to be kind hurts you like a parent who loves you but does the wrong thing by enabling behaviors.”

“AI is seen as a tool to improve healthcare in developing countries, addressing issues like poor water quality and promoting honest, evidence-based advice. ”

“I think the answer is both and meaning I think we're going to have Innovation and continuous improvement from doctors and from the tech side.”

“constantly be updating what is possible today and extrapolate for a year or six months”

“they're deceptive you know the first digital camera came out from Kodak and it took 01 megapixel images 01 the next year it took 02 megapixel images the next year 04 08 it all looked like zero and in fact when Steven sassan the founder the creator of the digital camera brought it into the boardroom of Kodak they said you're crazy you know we make beautiful higher resolution images besides we're in the paper and chemicals business there's no money in that here and they ignored the technology well 10 doublings later you're a thousand times better 20 doublings you're a million times 30 doublings you're a billion times and Kodak is bankrupt the same things occurred in exponential Tech on the AI side”

“in 20126 Simon sister is going to publish age of abundance”

“we're seeing that with Deep Mind products in you in Alpha proteo and and such”

“we're seeing that with Deep Mind products in you in Alpha proteo and and such”

“what are other domains that we can perfectly simulate is programming if you can programming languages can be run and then you can simulate the outputs obviously in the computer and then the AI can get better and better and eventually get super human uh in terms of programming”

“I think in terms of work productivity a lot of us are going to become managers a lot of current employees that are individual contributors are going to have to learn to manage an AI to do the kinds of work that they do”

“companies that are fully utilizing Ai and everyone else is out of business”

“we're currently in the jeevan's Paradox of intelligence”

“I think one policy change we're going to see is build build um on a few levels energy production.”

“we're going to be on the moon in a couple years and on Mars before 2030”

“I think we're going to devolve to small community self-determining their future and working at their own structures and then operating in a networked environment”

“AI will transform businesses and industries over the next five years, creating a generational opportunity for innovation and change.”

“Improving adherence categorically.”

“I do think we can see wisdom from that definition coming out of AI simulation systems.”

“this is an overnight success after 30 years of hard work”

“2004 made my life insane”

“I refuse to allow it to be and and um I go online and I find out that there is a 6:00 a.m. or like a 5:30 a.m. flight into in from Denver into St Louis and I finally find a taxi company that will uh that will drive me through the night from Montrose Colorado to Denver so I'm Sleepless in the back of a of a taxi cab get to Denver Airport hop on the commercial flight land I have 30 minutes to get the meeting I get to the meeting and uh to set the setting I'm in this large St Louis Science Center uh conference room uh with with uh Doug King introducing me I I must have looked like hell uh and and Al cir sitting there and I'm going through this and I'm telling the history of Lindberg which obviously all knows history of space flight and this idea of xprize and I'm looking for a home and I'm looking to raise $10 million for this prize and literally he alir cuts me off and he like jumps up out of his chair slams his hand on the table goes I get it I get it this is great we're gonna have we're gonna have xise here in St Louis and it was like I was like I was like stunned and his level of enthusiasm was so high and um he says listen meet me for a scotch at the Racket Club tonight um which by the way was the club where Lindberg uh raised his $25,000 and uh I've got an idea for you and he says here's what we're going to do uh we are going to raise you an initial $2.5 million of capital um uh to get this prize this Foundation going if you move the headquarters here to St Louis we want you here you know uh he was Civic progress was all about bringing companies and industries and jobs to St Louis and he said I'm going to find you 100 St louisans who will each contribute $25,000 which was the amount of the original ore prize and he goes in fact um I found you the first one between our meeting this morning and this meeting this afternoon you remember who that was Ralph Cy”

“I think it's going to profoundly change how people live their lives I it might even change the way that we think about ownership.”

“AI evolves so quickly past us, they look at us as ants and go, you know, your little 1 L brain in your head uh Vitalik accepted is not just not interesting enough to to talk to.”

“There is an optimization function that's possible. So, we're not there yet. The data is going to get us there.”

“Wow. And it was a climatic event that triggered the whole thing which of course makes us think about global warming today and the fragility of our 8 billion people and the food system that underpins it.”

“from your DNA we're going to first simulate one of a Saleem ismel liver cell or skin cell or brain cell which would be very very interesting”

“this can be even a little bit better than you said because we can say not only does it work it works for you”

“we're doing it at a really low cost just because there's we have a community of 500 AI experts that's emerged that's operating like a hive mind and every week they get together and discuss kind of like this what's happened in Ai and how that'll ripple effect cost every week they pick a topic like automotive and then figure out what's happening there Etc so there's this amazing resource and we're matching to CEOs and companies and organizations around the world to get get themselves ready for this for this coming wave”

“AI and biological intelligence can evolve in orthogonal ways, leading to new forms of intelligence.”

“Diversity in AI is crucial to prevent brittleness and potential harm. ”

“AI can be applied to repopulate and increase the resilience of species. ”

“AI will radically change micro biological functions and energy harvesting capabilities. ”

“I think one of the most important things is uh the accuracy and then these long context windows so explain what the long context window is again so you're absorbing information right now and it's quite high definition because you can see everything here and other stuff but you're still writing it down and the reason organizations get big is because text is a lossy trans transmiss format we lose so much context the final PDF loses all of that stuff now with the new Google models Nat has some amazing companies in this space as well you can upload hundreds of thousands of words thousands of documents and the AI can interpret them all at once there doesn't need to be trained on it so you can upload all of your ideas and say build a business based on this and it will do that or you can upload like a whole bunch of movies and then tell it to write a script that incorporates all of that and it'll do that in reference time that again is something super human but we all have these massive like repositories of all these ideas we've had being able to dump that now and then the AI without having to be trained spit back answers ideas and things like that I think is a really huge step along with that composition step that kind I've discussed before I think yeah I totally agree with that I think there will be a couple things coming probably pretty soon um it's hard to predict exact timelines on these things uh sometimes things happen faster than you expect effect and sometimes a little slower but one of the clearly amazing clearly possible now U products to build is a voice too model that's indistinguishable from talking to a human maybe for a conversation of up to a couple minutes where what happens after a couple of minutes well maybe you can kind of just tell somehow that it's not quite human after a couple of minutes uh I'm I'm setting a milestone that I think is achievable this year maybe when if you can do 2 minutes you can do 12 minutes I don't know um but uh yeah you know you would it's it's actually about all the Technologies there it all just has to be integrated and so you need the sort of the ability to recognize speech is there the ability to interpret it with a language model and generate responses is there and then the ability to turn that text into incredibly realistic voices there and kind of putting that all together into a package that has very low latency that's talking the way we talk where you can kind of interrupt me and maybe there's an avatar that's giving you this human like I mean Aristotle was very impressive but I knew that that was not a real person right and so um I think we could yeah he was a real person yeah that's right and then I think the other thing that's a very big deal is this idea of autonomy and agents um there's been a lot of talk of it with AI over the last year today these things are not agents they're tools they're call and response you go to chat gbt you type something you hit enter you watch the response kind of scream back and I think what people don't necessarily understand is that when these language models are responding to you that it's almost like a rap battle they have a fixed amount of time to generate each word and so they can't sort of sit there and Ponder for a minute you know what they're going to say they have to talk to a metronome and um so that's why when you see the words that they're writing out that's not like they've thought about it a lot and then you see the words it's actually the thinking is happening during the output would you say that's how a human does it too I often a lot of times sometimes I'm really pissed off at what came out my mouth cuz I didn't think about it in advance yeah yeah I think so I mean sometimes you have a conversation with a smart friend and you just forming the words to respond you have a better idea and so I think we we definitely do that too but um the agent the autonomy is about kind of increasing the unit of work you can trust the AI to do without making a mistake so right now you can ask it one question get a response you interpret it you figure out the next thing but what if it could go do 10 or 100 steps you're talking about an AI business you know do you trust it to come up with the title of the blog post that you're going to post or do you do you trust it to actually come up with the whole idea of the marketing campaign right come up with a strategy for how to execute it all of the content it's going to generate the partners it will reach out to and negotiate advertising or or whatever it's going to do have those conversations that'll multi-step successfully all the way to like measuring its results without supervision and I think that agency thing we're starting to see it in programming there was a very impressive demo a week or two ago of a company called cognition that um I think it was maybe the it was arguably the first really impressive demo of working agents in Ai and and they did it with gp4 so not with a new brand new model they did it by being very clever about the way they squeeze and distill the intelligence out of gp4 by repeatedly calling it and and analyzing and evaluating its results and choosing the best ones and”

“in two years until we can do that yeah I it won't be real time but yeah I'd say two years because movies are made up of lots of short scenes and we can already do short scenes and now it's all about how we bring it together”

“I'm curious who's who's thinking about uh Intel right now and its ability”

“I think we are headed for as I think is the title of your book abundance uh is the most likely outcome”

“This is going to determine winners and losers. Good distribution, whether alone or with partners. And then finally, most important, harnessing that proprietary data.”

“we're going to have not just selfie deaths we're going to have uh Vision Pro deaths”

“I think they have that I think I think it's called you can't text and drive and I think they're just going to broaden the definition of of texting”

“The economic impact could be that big across all sorts of areas.”

“AI gets to a point and we're essentially ants yeah to human beings well or bacteria or bacteria whatever hopefully not the bad type of bacteria and then you end up in that mode”

“I think I think the future looks incredibly bright Rich diverse fascinating fun.”

“I think life is ubiquitous in the universe.”

“the finals are coming up in two years in Earth Day of 2025... the winning team needs to demonstrate uh uh Megaton level capture that can scale to G[iga]ton level capture”

“before the end of this competition before before 2030 is we'll see you know quantum chemistry and Quantum computation coming online uh Gene therapies chrisberg Technologies Gene writing all kinds of things coming on um at exponential rates and uh and I think the biggest opportunity for impact on the planet is going to be for adding Health onto people's uh life”

“we are going to have the societal checks and balances against um you know evil”

“there is a future in the near-term in which there is no genetic disease”

“it is quite possible that some of the people in alive today will see no upper limit”

“These technologies are transforming what you as an entrepreneur can do.”

“This is a solvable problem.”

“I have two 12-year-old boys that are going through uh middle school right now I think there's a high probability we're going to have AGI by the time they're in college”

“imagine a world where AI powered deep fakes have become remarkably convincing malicious actors exploit this technology to spread false information and manipulate public opinion.”

“experts estimate it could emerge within the next few decades”

“the timeline is more uncertain it depends on various factors like technological advancements and res search breakthroughs”

“it's important for us to fight inequality and to fight environmental degradation and I think that we need to do those things as well as empower the individual to give them access to Food Water Energy health care education at scale”

“it's going to be an extraordinary decade ahead this is the most exciting time ever to be alive”

“vertical farms and cultivated meat that is really leveling the playing field and bringing us towards food security around the world”

“it's time to hit the moon and go to Mars next”

“They'll try to understand all of that, and they're not even going to grasp what's happening in China and what's happening in Russia and what's happening on quantum computing and Nobody And then by the time they understand January 2023, you know, we're already mid-2024, and you know, they won't understand that until 2029.”

“will change everything the way we live the way we play the way we have relationships the way we learn right”

“by the end of next year you'll have chat GPT on your mobile phone without internet”

“your AI will tell you it's this company I've already contracted it sent it the data and here the results”

“Quantum computation coming online and Quantum technologies that will uh support Ai and machine learning algorithms before the end of this decade.”

“people are building brand new types of companies that are outperforming multi-billion dollar conglomerate global companies at lightning speed”

“this stuff is going to be in your body on your body part of our future of medicine today it's a product that I think uh I'm going to be using for the years ahead and hope you'll consider as well.”

“your ability to use AI to use the crowd to be running experiments is fundamental to being an exponential organization”

“it's amazing”

“you should be willing to commit to this for 10 years”

“I predicted the prompt engineering as an industry would last about 5 months and it turned out to last about 5 weeks so so there you go.”

“I'm hoping for a return to sanity that's all nice.”

“95% of what you just described is not a research effort anymore it's just an engineering effort”

“one of the things that I've been uh you know I'm hoping in the next year we can have it facilitate you know we have a debate where you can debate with the AI and listen I think debate is one of the highest forms of learning and the most underutilized asset uh that we humans have in school”

“we genuinely think we can move the the dial for for Nations for the for the world eventually uh we've got to do this cuz that's how we get um integrated so that's where we went from nine school districts to I mean I arguably almost every school district definitely in the US and much of the world is already using Us in some way shape or form”

“real breakthroughs in stem cells and epigenetic reprogramming could add 10 20 30 healthy years and maybe buy you enough time to get the next 10 20 30 healthy years”

“this stuff is going to be in your body on your body part of our future of medicine today”

“positive applications of crypto are going to dilute all of the bad stuff in the same way that it happened on the internet itself we're already seeing it with the examples I just gave you”

“banks are going to adopt Defi and you're not going to know it that's when we know that it's here to stay”

“It's like the most amazing time ever in human history.”

“Ray Kurzweil's prediction is 2029.”

“AI will be vastly more powerful than humans by 2025. We'll see, but, you know, it's this decade.”

“The technology and the innovative minds to solve those problems are increasing every single day.”

“You have series B and series C valuations down 70 to 80%. You have series A down 40%, seed 20%. ”

“people that love their work stay working and I think work gives them a level of Vitality”

“I would encourage you to get excited about finding out if there's an Achilles heel find out now”

“The reaction to those that's so different is what yields different levels of impact and outcome.”

“imagine a world where this happens”

“I think maybe instead of asking them to give their money is we should help them find their purpose because the money will follow.”

“we are going to have a squander abundance of energy and water and food as we reinvent how we do these things.”

“Fusion's going to probably come online this decade, fingers crossed”

“I see him smile and there's this smile that looks like the smile of a child and it was extraordinary it was captured on film”

“those are some of the themes we'll talk about in future shows about why space even matters”

“it was one of the most extraordinary experiences of my life”

“we've been flying let me do the calculations here since 2005 so 17 years uh and we're flying about 70 80 flights per year um uh people rent out the airplane for birthday parties weddings all kinds of things imagine that get married up there yeah you got 30 seconds to say I do uh”

“the quality of this scanning is just getting better and better”

“Uber's goal is that it will be cheaper than the marginal cost of owning a car to fly around”

“if you've built your business on something around scarcity right you're G to be sadly disappointed”

“we've already gotten to this level of scale but we do we do have to get to you know thousands to anything you would add in terms of I think the the question that that you asked is how what needs to happen for us to actually do our work here in this space.”

“you've got 10 equivalent gigafactories construction around the world”

“it becomes economically irrational for a country uh to burn coal”

“I mean that's extraordinary yeah uh the Liberation and the velocity of capital um and I can't wait until it starts getting into the equity side of entrepreneurs.”

“I think we'll see big gains and how long does it take to put together deal terms and more standardization of that and less all over the place I mean accelerating the rate of doing deals. ”

“I see what what crowdfunding fits as uh a place in the investment ecosystem or you know the life cycle of a business is that it can be in some uh companies a great place for it to validate an existing set of traction model uh existing prototype that's working it's probably not a great place certainly in investment to raise equity for something that is barely started or an idea so that's not what we're focused on in crowdfunding fund uh crowdfunder but you will see companies servicing that very early stage startup space but I find that really high risk and that should be friends and family or you know risk Capital at the very small end so you have that Inception stage that's not really where Equity based crowdfunding will will be best serving the community it's in this place where someone has an existing product which could mean that they want to raise Equity but it could be what I think of as an ongoing concern a company that has cash flow and has had problems getting a $200,000 loan from A bank um and so they can serve as debt because they have existing revenues they're a small business and they have great customers but for for some reason they didn't have enough cash on hand to Warrant a loan from Wells Fargo right and so the community can come in and fund that small business to help it buy the additional inventory it needs so there's this but these will be Equity not loans uh no there'll be a large market and uh debt based investment Fant in crowdfunding so Equity is just one piece and Equity really only fits some of those highly explosive high growth companies where people are saying you know I'll ride longterm and give you some money and not look for a return short-term because I think the potential here is to scale and so that is often more innovation in Tech right um but that's not a great fit for a small business that is never going to have a 10x or 20x valuation right but they'd be willing to take on uh a loan at 7% and certainly and they have good good decent revenue and especially if they could go to a crowd and get it in 45 days without pitching Banks and investors one at a time what that what a blessing that would be yeah and then the other piece that's exciting is that uh you you don't have to be a small business to do this so you will see big Brands saying I I might want to pre-sell some of my products which Nike could do with a set of shoes and it would be I think a huge win but they could also capitalize either their own initiatives uh or partner initiatives and help bring investment or this more donation model crowdfunding so think that uh uh the fortune th000 companies I want to call them the Fortune 100 but some of the larger companies might actually come in and utilize this as a means for getting Capital it's fantastic Marketing in fact the Lin yeah let's talk let's talk let's dive in so we've been talking about the benefits the entrepreneurs let's talk about the benefits to the to the uh CEO the CFO who's looking to he got and you know might have a hundred million dollar billion dollar company what would they do with you so crowdfunding is inherently social meaning you're not looking to get a couple of investors to validate you and help you right off into the sunset and then try and get customers crowdfunding is in in a lot of ways a shortcut to getting customers and merging that with the process of financing or pre-selling what you're doing and that's a shift in the way business has been done uh I I would even go as far as in my utopian long-term ideal to say that you know there's this notion that you were either in or out of a company you were an investor and you had shares or you had nothing and what we're starting to see is a new set of relationships form around companies whether it's a corporation or nonprofit where people are able to align around that company and contribute or support whether that's through money whether it's through time whether it's through expertise and”

“autonomous cars will definitely be here in major cities”

“Education has been linear just like technology, how do we design an education system that is exponential?”

“he took that DNA molecule put into a blank cell that booted up for life and it was the first artificial life form.”

“we are seeing more startups in the synthetic biospace.”

“all new job growth comes from startups at least in the United States”

“I'm trying to prompt Forbes Magazine to start uh their trillionaire list pretty soon we'll see if they if Steve bites on that one.”

“by the time the danger comes 20 years later we've had a millionfold increase in technology capability”