2024-12-19 · auto-analysis (draft)
What’s Coming in 2025? Bitcoin, Robots, Space Exploration & the AI Revolution w/ Salim Ismail | #137
The conversation covers Bitcoin's current value and future predictions, the impact of quantum computing, the rapid pace of technological change, and the growing institutional adoption of Bitcoin. The podcast discusses the spectrum of intelligences, predictions for AI achieving self-awareness, and the potential for humanoid robots to become more affordable and widespread by 2025. The podcast discusses advancements in robotics, particularly the Colgone robot and BCI technology, as well as the progress in autonomous car technology, with predictions for the future of these technologies. The podcast discusses future advancements in BCI, AI, space exploration, and Bitcoin, with predictions for 2025 and beyond.
Topics
Bitcoin Crypto/Web3 ▶ 0:00
Quantum Computing Compute ▶ 7:33
Exponential Growth Other ▶ 0:09
Institutional Adoption Economy ▶ 8:55
AI AI ▶ 11:16
Space Exploration Space ▶ 15:16
Space Technology Space ▶ 12:16
Humanoid Robots Robotics ▶ 24:29
Consciousness in AI AI ▶ 21:02
AI Ethics and Socio-Emotional Impact AI ▶ 27:01
AI|Robotics Robotics ▶ 28:12
BCI Tech ▶ 37:08
Space Space ▶ 38:23
Predictions made
open Peter Diamandis: If 1% of Fortune 1000 companies put some of their treasury in Bitcoin, it will send it to a million dollars of Bitcoin.
“you heard it here first folks a million dollars a coin minimum a minimum over time”
Your call:
open Salim Ismail: A Mars mission by the end of 2025, involving Optimus robots and infrastructure setup on Mars.
“I think we're going to hear I challenge us to get to Mars by the end of this decade and put boots on Mars and the second half of this prediction is it's likely to be Optimus robot that goes to the Martian surface.”
Your call:
open Unknown: By the end of 2025, GPT 5 or a similar model will be live.
“I think we're going to see GPT or chat or GPT 5 coming live by the end of 2025”
Your call:
open Unknown: By the end of 2025, an AI model will achieve self-awareness or simulate self-awareness to the point of passing the Saleem test of Consciousness.
“I think in the next 18 months if not this next coming year we'll see something where you have what either is self-aware or simulate self-awareness to such an extent that you could call it the Saleem test of Consciousness”
Your call:
open Unknown: By 2025, humanoid robots will be available for $30,000, with monthly lease payments of $10 a day.
“if you lease a $30,000 car your monthly lease payments are about 300 bucks uh which is $10 a day”
Your call:
open Unknown: By 2040, there will be at least one humanoid robot per human on the planet.
“I asked him outright how many humanoid robots by 2040 uh gave the same answer that Brett atock said 10 billion humanoid robots you know at least one per human on the planet”
Your call:
open Unknown: The design of the Colgone robot should be more advanced and functional, with more limbs and fingers, to better mimic the capabilities of an octopus.
“we should just call it that and have it look like an octopus and let it operate in the all the Elegance that an octopus can rather than trying to constrain it into five fingers on this hand that do certain things and manipulate objects the way we're supposed to manipulate them you could get so much more range of options which you could step past the limitations or 4 billion years of evolution creating this uh idiotic looking thing that's bald you know and so I think there's so much more you could do with it by having to have five arms and 16 fingers each etc etc”
Your call:
open Unknown: Autonomous cars will become more common, with the cost of driving dropping significantly, and regulations around full self-driving capabilities will change.
“I think this is where I think things will become incredibly excited um I just got a uh an electric por McAn okay uh next to my 2017 Model S yeah and it's incredible to me that the car industry is it's a it's a brilliant car it's just fantastic and it's really a and I'm a bit of a driving Enthusiast so it's really a car so I love it but it's not much better it's by far I think the best electric car in the world right now as far as I can see um but it's not much better than my it doesn't have autopilot it's like I don't care how fast it does but it doesn't have f um full yeah and and weirdly I still prefer my Tesla I just I just love that godamn Tesla for the breakthroughs and the where I feel in it it's incredible what it's been accomplished I much rather have a car that's much more software than Hardware yeah and that's G gives you huge power and scope and flexibility going forward I I I love my full shelf driving I use it all the time I just hate the fact that I can't text and drive so I'm looking forward to I mean seriously again stupid regulatory yeah well uh and we'll see that we'll see that soon”
Your call:
open Unknown: BCI technology will advance significantly, including the mapping of a fruit fly's connectome and the potential to upload a human brain by 2025.
“any thoughts on on BCI uh two different topics here one is uh digital twin type modeling which I think is very real and will happen much faster than people think because when you scale these models because the minute you can do modeling and visualization you have a feedback loop and when you can do things like fmri scans in real time scan the brain and have that be an active input into the modeling you can essentially trap everything and therefore there's no limit to it except for computation at that point and and we have computation growing exponentially and they are growing 10x exponentially so I'm super excited about that the brain upload part I do know they can now even now if you if you die suddenly they can trap all key information and bring it back at some later point so that whole kind of concept of living past and going through those type of seven things has already happened um the the connecto and modeling the the the brain in that level I think is very exciting but I think it's still a little bit ways away right yeah and we'll see the announcement in 2025 of a few other BCI companies uh one I'm excited about again we'll be on stage this year at the abundance Summit you're going to meet a CEO who thinks for $50 million he's got the technology to upload the entire human brain so that will be amazing”
Your call:
open Unknown: Digital twin modeling and real-time brain scans will enable more advanced and flexible autonomous car systems in the future.
“the brain upload part I do know they can now even now if you if you die suddenly they can trap all key information and bring it back at some later point so that whole kind of concept of living past and going through those type of seven things has already happened um the the connecto and modeling the the the brain in that level I think is very exciting but I think it's still a little bit ways away right yeah and we'll see the announcement in 2025 of a few other BCI companies uh one I'm excited about again we'll be on stage this year at the abundance Summit you're going to meet a CEO who thinks for $50 million he's got the technology to upload the entire human brain so that will be amazing”
Your call:
open Max Hodak: BCI companies will make announcements in 2025.
“we'll see the announcement in 2025 of a few other BCI companies”
Your call:
open Unknown: Hyper-exponential growth will accelerate and become more significant.
“it's only accelerating and it's going to become incredible”
Your call:
Numbers that matter
- Beautiful yacht
- 10 hours
- 20 hours
- 10
- 0.5%
- 140
- $30,000
- $0.40
- 100,000
- 1 dollar a mile
- 154,000 neurons and 50 million synaptic connections
- 10x